Chinese Foreign Policy: Pragmatism and Strategic Behavior. Edited by Suisheng
Zhao. [Armonk, NY and
London: M.E. Sharpe, 2004. 319
pages. US$26.95, paperback
edition. ISBN 0-7656-1285-2.]
Suisheng Zhao of the University of Denver has assembled this volume
out of articles that appeared recently in the Journal of Contemporary China, which he edits. Its chapters cover recognisable
terrain for political scientists – such as whether China, as a rising power,
will seek to maximise its relative or absolute gains, the likelihood its
increasing power will tend toward status-quo or belligerent lines, and the
degree of Chinese ‘exceptionalism’ when compared with other countries. As the subtitle might suggest, the contributions
present China in a
favourable light, stressing how China’s leaders have spurned the ideological
purism of Communist foreign policy for pragmatism and judicious weighing of
national interests, with only nationalism to serve as a double-edged sword by
conferring legitimacy on the government but potentially also taking it away.
The assertion that pragmatic strategic calculations govern Chinese foreign policy contrasts with such other interpretations as those of David Lampton in Same Bed, Different Dreams (University of California, 2001), which assigns a large role to domestic politics, or Peter Gries in Understanding Chinese Nationalism (University of California, 2004), who highlights the constraining role of nationalist ideology on the ability of China’s leaders to deescalate crises with other countries. The contribution of Zhao’s book lies less in defending the assertion of pragmatism against those competing perspectives than in drawing upon it to offer fresh material concerning a variety of topics in Chinese foreign policy: nationalism, strategic culture, and Chinese relations with the West, regional neighbours, and international regimes such as non-proliferation.
Zhao, who has written elsewhere about the prospects of Chinese
democracy, the Taiwan Straits Crisis, and the transformation of the Chinese
Communist Party from a revolutionary party to a status-quo centred ruling
party, here himself offers chapters on the variants of Chinese nationalism
(nativist, antitraditionalist, and pragmatic; and propagated by the state, by
independent intellectuals, and through popular pressure), adjustments in
China’s foreign policy after Tian'anmen Square, and on China's policy toward
its neighbours. These chapters
number among the volume’s strongest offerings. Other chapters are also worth note: Lowell Dittmer’s
beautifully written piece on the history of the Sino-Russian relationship is
one; another is Lau Siu-kai’s preference of historical research over broad
generalisation to demonstrate that at least in the case of Hong Kong,
pragmatism predated Deng Xiaoping.
Andrew Scobell, who has studied Chinese strategic culture elsewhere,
presents a limited study here. It
may be that, from his finding that some high-level members of the People’s
Liberation Army were reluctant to go to war in Korea and in several subsequent
conflicts, we may infer the existence of a Chinese strategic culture, which
holds comparatively unchanging decades later; but Scobell has not here
demonstrated that, and to his credit he is rightly modest in his conclusions.
The most ambitious chapter is likely Rex Li’s, in which he notes
the insufficiencies of realism and liberalism and instead offers a theory in
which considerations of likely returns from increased trade impel Chinese
leaders to pursue more pacific or belligerent policies toward the West. His attempted reconciliation is
interesting, but does not seem to fit the timing or participants’ observations
either in Mao’s détente with President Nixon or in the more recent warming of
Sino-American ties which took place between 1995 and 1999. In the latter case, the serious
possibility of expanded trade ties was not raised until the signing of the
U.S.-China WTO Agreement in November 1999—but Beijing’s decision to moderate
its policy toward the United States in the wake of the Taiwan Straits crisis
occurred in August 1995, before a meeting between Warren Christopher and
Chinese Foreign Minister Qian Qichen in Brunei. Like the earlier warming of 1971-2, it appears to have been
a security decision, made largely on security grounds. While many analysts in Beijing
continued to believe the US was attempting strategic encirclement of China, and
more dovish voices had been discredited by the American extension of a visa to
Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui, Chinese President Jiang Zemin believed improved ties would permit
China to pursue its interests in a world in which his nation needed America
more than the latter needed China.
Also deserving mention is Jing-dong Yuan’s fascinating treatment
of motivations driving China’s relationship with the nuclear non-proliferation
regime. Technology transfer
provides a way of expanding Chinese influence in the Middle East and Pakistan,
and retaliating against the West or retaining leverage in negotiations; on the
other hand, Yuan sees a process of learning of international standards in
China’s moving from Maoist calls for anticolonial nuclear proliferation toward
endorsing indefinite extension of the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear
Weapons.
Other interesting selections would have benefited from greater fleshing out. Wu Xinbo’s chapter on antinomies within Chinese foreign policy is given short treatment, and it would have been interesting to see Wu connect these contradictions with policy outcomes, with processes tending to indicate when one set may win out over the other. Zi Zhongyun’s chapter on ideology and the Sino-American relationship summons the soul of Michael Hunt, with a questionable fixation upon the role of racial hierarchy in the making of China policy in Washington. Zhang Junbo and Yao Yunzhu’s chapter on differences between Chinese and Western strategic cultures is intriguing as a depiction of a Chinese perception, but as historical analysis is somewhat less convincing. The authors contrast Chinese concern with the concept of dao, moral rectitude, and strategem with western preoccupation with ‘material’ rather than ‘human’ factors in war. Zhang and Yao’s reading of western strategic history does not seem to have included Machiavellian virtù, the traditions of just war and ius ad bellum–or more to the point, the Trojan horse.
The
assertion that China is a great power occurs repeatedly in the volume, but only
Zhao, in chapter 8, comes close to putting forward a justification or
definition for the claim: and his suggestion is that China’s great power status
was contingent upon Cold War bipolarity. Also, given Zhao’s allowance that Chinese pragmatism
collapses under foreign demands triggering historical sensitivities, is this
true pragmatism, then? This is
especially the case as the more important security or human-rights issues for
both China and the West are ones involving precisely such historical
sensitivities – Taiwan, Tibet, and the treatment of Chinese dissidents.
It in no way detracts from Dr Zhao’s achievement to note more
extensive use of an English-language proofreader might have spared readers the
distraction of such eclecticisms as ‘neo-conservatists’ and ‘prudential foreign
policy’. Other readers might find themselves instead distracted by the volume’s
use of ‘1989 events’ instead of Tian'anmen Square, as well as the inverted
commas surrounding, e.g., ‘human rights’. Nonetheless, Zhao has here assembled
an impressive collection of contributions, especially on Chinese nationalism,
regional relationships, and prospects for adopting the norms of international
society. This volume will provide a useful supplement to other edited works
which have built on similar terrain, such as Thomas W. Robinson and David
Shambaugh’s Chinese Foreign Policy (Oxford, 1994).
Patrick Belton is a researcher at Oxford University, and serves as president of a foreign policy think tank and society of foreign policy professionals.